KNEEJERK REACTIONS TO THE 2018 OSCAR NOMINATIONS, or DOES THIS MEAN I HAVE TO SEE A STAR IS BORN NOW?
Well, I’m trying to stay tuned. But honest to God, I find it
really difficult, especially when the movies themselves are still outside my experience,
to get all whipped up in an office pool frenzy about a potential face-off
between Lady Gaga and Glenn Close for Best Actress, especially since A) I have
almost 0% historical interest in any version of A Star is Born (I made it
through part of the Cukor version once, the only version that holds any
intrigue for me); B) I have an almost categorical allergy to Glenn Close (for
me, her finest hour on film comes in Mars
Attacks!); and C) I spent the last three months convincing myself that
Olivia Colman was a shoo-in, and now the unfailing wisdom of the Hollywood
press is trying to convince me otherwise. On some level, I think I actually
resent the intrusion into my fantasy that for once the person who I believe
actually deserves the award (and the general recognition from an otherwise
“Olivia Who?” sort of crowd) might actually win. Ah, who knows? Close or Gaga
(we don’t ever call her Lady, do we, unless we know her well) might be really
good in their respective roles, but they both seem like such obvious choices,
and from a purely bread-and-circuses perspective, the positioning of either one
as a favorite kinda makes me reflexively reach for the snooze button. And
speaking of Bread and Circuses, Squirmy Public Spectacle Division, Close oughta
be aware of the danger of being declared any sort of front-runner, based on
either merit or “She’s been so good for so long” status. As a friend of mine
who is much smarter than me on these things observed on Facebook recently, just
ask how that sure-thing buzz worked out for Lauren Bacall, or Eddie Murphy, or
Burt Reynolds, or most recently Sylvester Stallone.
The bottom line is, I just don’t have a whole lot of dogs in
this particular hunt. If it were up to me, you’d be seeing a whole lot more of First Reformed and Leave No Trace and Buster
Scruggs and Searching and Burning, and maybe even a cultural
consciousness no-show like Cory Finley’s Thoroughbreds
on Oscar night, at the partial expense of all the pictures mentioned above, and
even of the presumed all-around favorite, Alfonso Cuaron’s Roma, which far too many people who are inclined to abuse the word
are declaring a masterpiece. (I admire the movie, but I never overcame Cuaron’s
own prescribed remoteness—I kept waiting for the moment that the movie would
sweep me away, and it never did.) And these articles I read immediately after
the nominations were announced, the ones that kept trying to sell the idea that
for once there was no recognizable
front-runner, that for the first time in a long time, for whatever reason, the
Oscar show might have a little suspense, well, the folks who wrote those pieces
must have been looking at a different list of nominees than I was. In what
world could a movie which garners nominations for Picture, Actress, Supporting
Actress, Director, Screenplay, Cinematography and Best Foreign Film, one
with considerable critical backing and unprecedented
availability in homes equipped to stream Netflix, not be considered a competition-crushing
front-runner? No movie nominated for both Best Picture and Best Foreign Film
has ever taken both awards, but Roma
could do exactly that. For Christ’s sake, Cuaron himself personally stands to
walk away with five Oscars next
month. Between them, in their storied and influential careers Robert Altman and
Alfred Hitchcock managed to snag exactly none.
And therein lies the danger of taking Oscar too seriously,
the punishment for which is a consistent thwacking on the back on the head
until the brain matter is reordered with some common sense. Posterity has
nothing to do with it—Oscars, the nominations and the awards, have more to do
with the reflection of a particular moment, whether that moment is, like our
current one, inflected with adjustments courtesy of #MeToo and #OscarsSoWhite,
or trends in the past toward stodgy biblical epics and social problem pictures
that haven’t done so well in the Standing the Test of Time Department. (One
good thing about TCM’s otherwise humdrum 31 Days of Oscar platform, which will
hijack the channel yet again for another month beginning this coming Friday, is
that it gives the skeptical viewer a chance to see the same old roster of
overplayed pictures yet again, as
well as to quizzically observe, while trying to find something to record on the
DVR, the nature of just what Oscar thought made the grade 60 years ago-- which
I suppose in turn might at least inspire a little research to find out what
movies got passed over during the same time period and to by God watch them
instead.)
Oscar will reveal his decisions on February 24, and no doubt
some smarmy jerk like me writing for his holographic blog or for Trailers from Hell in 2078, if the
Academy and the Internet and civilization itself still exist at that point,
will wonder why everyone in 2018 thought Roma
or A Star is Born or Vice were such collective big deals, and
that person will likely have no idea that many of us in the current moment were
thinking the same thing. (And I’ll bet the movies which will be clogging
SmarmyGuy2078’s Oscar wrap-up article will be just as perplexing in their
acclaim.) But we march on, tossing our observations and predictions about Oscar
around like so many ineffectual thoughts and prayers, in the hope that come
Oscar Night some of it will somehow gel into something resembling sense, some
entertainment value beyond gawking at gorgeous gowns and listening to a parade
of strident speechifying (however well intended) and gushing about the four
other nominees who didn’t get to make the long walk to the stage and how this
really belongs to all of you! That’s
not really very likely to happen, though I do think that proceeding without a
host is a step in the right direction. For once, the Monday morning
teeth-gnashing in all the entertainment press will have to focus on something
else besides Kevin Hart’s painfully misguided sense of humor and the writers
who couldn’t make him, or Seth MacFarlane, or Ellen Degeneres, or Jimmy Kimmel,
look any better. Presenters of individual awards, good luck to you all. To
everyone else, may your Oscar party be amusing, however tedious and predictable
the outcome of the actual show may be.
And since predictions are best left (at least by me) for my
office pool Oscar ballot, here’s a list of what I’d save a checkmark for if I
had a real Oscar ballot in my hands. Use the following picks to guide your own
Oscar pool guesses at your own peril.
PICTURE
I’m still trying to figure out how Bohemian Rhapsody, a movie I liked,
by the way— and one that apparently directed itself, if the lack of mention of
a certain defamed director in the remarks of all its post-Golden Globe award
recipients tell us anything—ended up with a Best Picture nod. That said, my
vote would give the slight edge to BlacKKKlansman
over Black Panther, with The Favorite coming in third. I can’t
bear the thought of Spike Lee losing again
to another picture about racial harmony arrived at inside a moving vehicle, but
here’s where the appeal of the Oscars vis-à-vis possible public humiliation comes
in again, I guess. Still haven’t seen: Green
Book, A Star is Born, Vice.
ACTRESS
See above. Yalitza Aparicio and Melissa McCarthy are above
reproach in Roma and Can You Ever Forgive Me? respectively,
but my black heart belongs to Olivia Colman. (She had no chance, of course, but
a perfect world would have made room for Leave
No Trace’s Thomasin Harcourt Mackenzie, so natural and so compelling in Leave No Trace.)
ACTOR
My point of greatest embarrassment this year. I have seen
exactly one of the nominated performances—Rami Malek in Bohemian Rhapsody—so my vote reflexively goes to him. But he
wouldn’t stand a chance in my eye if Ethan Hawke (First Reformed), or John Cho (Searching),
or Joaquin Phoenix (Don’t Worry, He Won’t
Get Far On Foot), or maybe even Brady Jandreau (The Rider), were up there instead of, say, Bradley Cooper, or Christian
Bale, who will probably benefit from this year’s Gary Oldman Award for Real-Life
Representation from Underneath a Shit-ton of Really Good Make-up and reign
supreme. (See also Best Make-up.)
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Wherefore art thou, Elizabeth Debicki? Wherefore art thou,
Michelle Yeoh? I walked out of Widows
and Crazy Rich Asians convinced both
were locks for a Supporting Actress nomination—they were the only things people
with wildly variant views of the respective films could agree on, and they both
outclassed their own movies. And Tyne Daly’s dyspeptic apoplexy in The Ballad of Buster Scruggs was
flat-out spectacular. I couldn’t take my eyes off her. Yet these women get only crickets, while Marina de Tavira slides
in on Roma’s overall goodwill and Amy
Adams rides the coattails of the Academy’s mysterious love for the largely
derided Vice. (There’s a joke in
there, but I won’t make it.) I’m inclined to back Regina King simply because
I’ve loved her since 227 (look it up,
art house snobs!), but I have yet to see If
Beale Street Could Talk—I was gonna catch it this afternoon, but instead
I’m sitting at home writing this—so I’ll tilt toward Emma Stone.
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Sam Rockwell is clearly the
beneficiary of having won here last year—my wife, who has seen Vice, assures me
that his tiny role as George W. Bush wouldn’t warrant Oscar consideration even
if it went beyond simple caricature. Mahershala Ali’s inclusion makes more
sense, but again, he’s already got a statue—and, yes, he might get another one.
Richard E. Grant does very well by a role that is, however based on real
humanity, a bit of a Hollywood cliché. Adam Driver
should’ve been nominated for Paterson.
That leaves Sam Elliot, an actor I like—he should’ve been nominated for I’ll See You in My Dreams—nominated for
a role I haven’t seen. My vote: Richard E. Grant, the beneficiary of a ton of
goodwill stretching back to Withnail
& I— now there’s an
Oscar-worthy performance—but the whole category gets a shrug from me in the
absence of folks like Ben Foster (Leave
No Trace), Michael B. Jordan (Black
Panther) and, God bless him, Jesse Plemons (Game Night).
DIRECTOR
Anyone who bets against Alfonso Cuaron, here and elsewhere,
is filling out a fool’s office Oscar pool ballot. But among these five, Spike
Lee deserves his moment on stage, for sheer conviction alone. That, and BlacKKKlansman is a hell of a movie.
ANIMATED FEATURE
I loved Wes Anderson’s Fantastic
Mr. Fox, but Isle of Dogs looked
like a mutt too far for me. (Yeah, yeah, it’s on Amazon Prime—I’ll get to it.)
And frankly, I was a touch disappointed by Incredibles
2, which was admittedly burdened by being a sequel to a film that was
almost impossible to follow. So, admitting ignorance about Dogs, Mirai and Ralph Breaks
the Internet, I’ll still confidently (if somewhat ignorantly) proclaim that
no other animated feature colored outside the lines in such an innovative
fashion as Spider-Man: Into the
Spider-verse did. It’s not just the animated movie of the year; it comes
damn close to being the movie of the
year.
CINEMATOGRAPHY
Caleb Deschanel, who should already have an Oscar for The Black Stallion, and maybe one for The Right Stuff too, is nominated for a
German-language movie (Never Look Back)
no one has seen. (Way to go, Caleb Deschanel!) Roma will win because, well, Cuaron, even though his ascent will
deny self-inflated would-be insiders everywhere the chance to wax ecstatic
about “Chivo.” (Cuaron has the right to call his longtime cinematographer and
friend, Emmanuel Lubezki, by that nickname, and he undoubtedly will on Oscar
night in his acceptance speech.) But if it were me, I’d give it to Old Fish
Eyes, Robbie Ryan, for The Favourite.
COSTUME DESIGN
I’d automatically default to Mary Zophres here for The Ballad of Buster Scruggs if it weren’t
for the fact that Ruth Carter’s spectacular threads for Black Panther made that movie pop off the screen like it was in
3-D, even if you saw it without the free sunglasses. Carter deserves it, and
she’ll get it.
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Free Solo wasn’t quite the feat that Jimmy Chin’s
previous eye-and-mind-boggling mountain climbing doc Meru was, but it’s still grand. Of
Fathers and Sons is easily the most unsettling movie I saw in 2018, and
it’s a daring, unblinking piece of work. And to my shame, I have so far missed RBG, Hale County This Morning, This Evening
and Minding the Gap. I’d vote for Of Fathers and Sons of the five. But the
real story in this category is all the movies-- in a great year for
documentaries, by the way-- that went unrepresented, titles like Scotty and the Secret History of Hollywood
(okay, AMPAS ain’t coming near that one-- I get it), Fahrenheit 11/9 (the political outrage factor already covered, I
guess, by Vice), John McEnroe: In the Realm of Perfection, Amazing Grace and Three Identical Strangers. But the huge elephant
(or the giant Donkey Hodie) in the room is, of course, the lack of recognition
for Won’t You Be My Neighbor?, a
movie that may have been hurt by voters in the Academy documentary branch who
may have felt the movie, a big hit and the rare documentary that might be
almost as beloved as its subject, had already collected its reward. Mr. Rogers
might forgive such an omission, but I cannot.
FILM EDITING
I’d like to think longtime Spike Lee cutter Barry Alexander
Brown has a real shot at winning this-- he’d get my vote. But all five nominees
also have representation in the Best Picture category, and Roma is not among them, so looks like anything could happen here.
My vote: BlacKKKlansman.
Prediction?... Um…. The Favourite? Green Book?
FOREIGN FILM
I think the prospect of a Roma sweep, Best Supporting
Actress excepted, is a real thing. That said, if Oscar wants to appear
even-handed, Shoplifters has a good
shot at one of the evening’s upsets.
MAKE-UP
Please. Vice. For Border and Mary Queen of Scots, really, it’s just an honor to be nominated.
Really.
ORIGINAL SCORE
Another toss-up. Though I’ve often bristled at the way his
music has been used by Lee, the veteran Terence Blanchard is well-represented
for his work on BlacKKKlansman. I
honestly don’t recall a note of the score for Black Panther. And if I voted for Mary Poppins Returns, it would be because Marc Shaiman should have
won something for South Park: Bigger,
Longer and Uncut 19 years ago. (Nineteen
years ago…?) I’d vote for Blanchard.
ORIGINAL SONG
My daughter’s vote would go to “All the Stars” from Black Panther, and I completely
understand. It’s a good song. And there will be no denying Lady Gaga in this
category, no matter what happens between her and Close (and Colman)—from what
I’ve heard it’s even a good song too. But there’s no way I’d ever vote against
“When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings,” written by the great roots
musicians David Rawlings and Gillian Welch, from The Ballad of Buster Scruggs. Another strike against the Oscar show:
I hear tell they’re not scheduling a performance of the tune, by Tim Blake
Nelson or anyone else. Pan shot!
PRODUCTION DESIGN
Would anyone dare vote against Black Panther in this category? Not me.
SCREENPLAY (ADAPTED)
This one feels like Spike Lee, Kevin Willmott, Charlie
Wachtel and David Rabinowitz’s to lose. The quality of Can You Ever Forgive Me? was no forgery, thanks to Nicole
Holofcener and Jeff Whitty’s talents. And the shadow of James Baldwin seems not
to have intimidated Beale’s Street’s
Barry Jenkins. My own vote would go to the Coens, whose use of existing texts
in one story (“Meal Ticket”) and a full-on adaptation of an existing short
story ("The Girl Who Got Rattled") lands their otherwise original script for The Ballad of Buster Scruggs in the
adapted category. They get my vote, but the Oscar will go to BlacKKKlansman, and that’s okay with me.
(Just retroactively apply a little of that luster to Lee and Willmott’s
previous collaboration, ChiRaq, while
you’re at it, Oscar, if you don’t mind.)
SCREENPLAY (ORIGINAL)
I can’t tell you how nice it is to see Paul Schrader get an
Oscar nomination, and for a Paul Schrader film too. His template may have been Winter Light, but Schrader is no more a
Bergman copycat than De Palma is of Hitchcock, which is to say that he takes a
familiar perspective and makes it his own; in First Reformed he’s made a true movie of the moment. I think the
momentum behind Roma will be
unstoppable here, but it’ll sure be nice to see Schrader in a tux.
SOUND EDITING
Black Panther may
seem like the obvious choice, but a movie with sound as something more than
subtext, like A Quiet Place, might be
a better choice.
SOUND MIXING
Black Panther gets
my vote and my prediction, but A Star is
Born could sneak one in with this category.
VISUAL EFFECTS
Hard to imagine how a juggernaut like Black Panther managed to miss out on an obvious slot like this one,
but it did. Ready Player One was
frantic, but also kinda dingy-looking, and Solo:
A Star Wars Story and Christopher
Robin, while undoubtedly benefitting from feeling familiar, felt, well, too
familiar. (I’d have tossed Solo and
replaced it with the familiar but wildly enjoyable big monster antics of Rampage.) Of the nominees, Avengers: Infinity War seems like the
best choice. But why no love for Annihilation,
whose effects were genuinely special, and unsettling as hell to boot?
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And a post-year-end note by way of a mea culpa. I submitted my list of year-end favorites a couple of weeks ago, and I was forthcoming (to
the point of embarrassment in some cases) about my blind spots. But thanks to
my own poor record-keeping, I created a blind spot for myself where there was
none by accidentally omitting Chloe Zhao’s The Rider from the upper echelon
of my list of favorite movies of 2018. The story of The Rider, that of a young Native American cowboy (Brady Jandreau)
who, after a devastating head injury, has to reevaluate his own life and his
place in the world, was based very closely on Jandreau’s experience—he’s a real
cowboy, not an actor, and the movie is populated with people from his own
family and circle of friends. But what could have been simply a sincere,
NPR-friendly character study becomes responsive, inquisitive, empathetic art in
Zhao’s hands. With The Rider she’s
made a startling original, a one-of-a-kind tribute to one man’s anger and confusion
and resiliency that begs comparison to no other movie this year. And yet in a
strange and lovely fulfillment of one of her premier influences, Zhao has also made
the Terence Malick movie that Malick himself seems unwilling or unable to make
anymore.
We who put these things together always say that the
year-end list in question might look different if it were composed a day
earlier or later, that it could change from moment to moment, and this is an
instance when it really did. Here’s what my year-end list would look like if
I’d been paying closer attention to my own notes:
FIRST
REFORMED
THE
BALLAD OF BUSTER SCRUGGS
SPIDER-MAN:
INTO THE SPIDER-VERSE
LEAVE
NO TRACE
THE
RIDER
FAHRENHEIT
11/9
WON’T
YOU BE MY NEIGHBOR?
BLACKKKLANSMAN
BLACK
PANTHER
SCOTTY
AND THE SECRET HISTORY OF HOLLYWOOD
(Sorry, Game
Night. I still love you.)
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